(Better Questions for Stronger Insights series) #4 Ask what they almost did instead
Ask what they almost did instead
A deep dive into one of the sharpest decision-analysis techniques in consumer research — and six ways to surface the competing options that nearly won
Why this angle exists
Every choice is made against alternatives. But most research asks about what someone did — not what they nearly did. The result is a clean, confident version of a decision that was almost certainly messier, more contested, and more revealing than the final answer suggests.
The "almost" is where the real competitive landscape lives. The thing they nearly bought wasn't another product in your category — it was often something completely different. A takeaway instead of cooking. A cheap version instead of yours. Nothing at all instead of something. What lost tells you more about what won than the winner itself.
When you ask what someone almost did instead, you surface the moment of maximum uncertainty — the split second before the decision hardened. That's where you find the actual decision signals: what tipped it, what could have gone differently, and what the brand is really competing against in the consumer's mind.
This is especially powerful because people rarely volunteer their runner-up. They present their choices as more deliberate than they were. The "almost" recovers the ambivalence they've edited out.
When you know you need this angle
The reason they give is too clean
"I always buy this one." Real decisions involve hesitation. If there was no tension in the story, there's an alternative they haven't mentioned yet.
You suspect the real competitor isn't obvious
In food, leisure, and discretionary spend, the competition is often a different category entirely. Asking what they nearly did reveals the actual trade-off being made.
They described the decision as quick or easy
"I just grabbed it." Quick decisions still happen against a backdrop of options. Slow them down — "what were the other things you could have done?"
You're mapping a category's competitive set
If you need to understand what's really competing for the same moment, occasion, or budget — the "almost" is the most accurate map you can get.
Six techniques — click each to expand
Follow-up probes once you're inside an "almost"
"How close did you actually get to doing that — were you seconds away, or was it more of a passing thought?"
Calibrates the weight of the alternative. A near-miss is very different from a fleeting consideration.
"What would have had to be different for you to have gone with that instead?"
Surfaces the exact switching condition — often a price threshold, a moment of doubt, or a missing signal.
"What made you put it back — was it something you saw, something you felt, or something you thought?"
Separates the three layers of a rejection: sensory, emotional, rational. Each points to a different type of insight.
"Do you think you'll end up doing that at some point — or has the moment passed?"
Reveals whether the alternative has latent demand or was a one-off. Persistent "almosts" are a category opportunity.
"Was anyone else's reaction part of why you didn't go with it?"
Uncovers social veto players — a partner, a child, an imagined audience — who shaped the final call without being visible.
"Looking back, do you think you made the right call — or does part of you still wonder?"
Surfaces post-decision regret or doubt, which tells you whether the "almost" has ongoing pull — a much stronger signal than a satisfied choice.
Signals that the "almost" is real and worth pursuing
They name a specific alternative. "I nearly got the Tesco own-brand" or "I was this close to just ordering a pizza." A named alternative means it was genuinely in play — not a polite hypothetical.
Their body language or tone shifts. A small laugh, a pause, a "actually..." — these signal a real moment of ambivalence they're now re-entering. Stay with it.
The alternative is from a different category entirely. "I nearly just didn't bother" or "I almost got a takeaway instead." Cross-category almosts reveal the true occasion-level competition — far more useful than brand-vs-brand data.
They describe the alternative in abstract terms. "Something cheaper, I suppose." They know there was tension but haven't located it precisely. Slow down — "what specifically were you looking at?"
They move straight to why they made the right call. They've skipped the ambivalence and gone to justification. Gently go back: "before you decided — what was pulling you the other way?"
They insist there was no alternative. "I always just get this one, I don't even think about it." Don't accept this at face value — probe for the last time something disrupted that habit. The exception will unlock the real competitive threat.
What to avoid
Don't frame the "almost" as a mistake or a near-miss they should be embarrassed by. You're not asking "why didn't you just get the better thing." You're curious about the tension — treat it as interesting, not evaluative. A neutral, slightly conspiratorial tone ("I'm curious — what were you tempted by?") works far better than a formal or clinical one.
Don't assume the alternative was in the same category. Some of the most valuable competitive insights come from discovering that your product is competing with a nap, a phone call, or a completely different type of treat. If you steer them toward same-category alternatives, you'll miss it.
And don't settle for the first "almost" they offer — there are often several layers. After they name one alternative, ask if there was anything else they briefly considered. The second or third runner-up is sometimes the one that actually reveals the real decision tension, because it's the one they felt they had to justify walking away from.
Comments
Post a Comment